Reds vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 26

Reds vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2025, 6:00 p.m. ET

Austin Hays and the Cincinnati Reds are set to face off against Junior Caminero and the Tampa Bay Rays at Great American Ball Park this Saturday. Bookmakers are favoring the Reds at -123 on the moneyline, while the underdog Rays are at +103. Cincinnati is also the favorite on the run line at -1.5, with a total of 9 runs listed for the game.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective about the Reds-Rays matchup, including information on the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks.

Reds vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 26, 2025, at 6:40 p.m. ET

Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio

How to watch on TV: FDSOH and FDSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line Favorite	Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-123	+103	9	-115	-105	-1.5	+167	-207

Reds vs. Rays Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Rays 4

Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

Win Probabilities: Reds 52%, Rays 48%

Reds vs. Rays Betting Insights

This season, the Reds have been favored 47 times, winning 24 of those matches, equating to a 51.1% success rate. Cincinnati has maintained a record of 19-15 when favored by -123 or greater, achieving a 55.9% win rate. The Reds hold an implied probability of victory at 55.2% based on the moneyline.

Meanwhile, the Rays have won 21 of their 48 contests as odds-on underdogs this year, giving them a 43.8% win rate. They have also notched up 17 wins out of 31 games when listed at least at +103 on the moneyline, with an implied winning probability of 49.3% for this upcoming matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds were favored on the moneyline in seven of their last ten games, finishing with a record of 4-3 during that stretch. In their last ten outings, the combined scores exceeded the total on two occasions (with totals set for all ten games). The Reds are 6-4-0 against the spread over the previous ten games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.6
Home Runs	9
ERA	3.31
K/9	10.1

Reds Player Insights

Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 18 home runs and 65 RBIs while boasting a team-high batting average of .283. He ranks 36th in home runs and 17th in RBIs among hitters in baseball. Meanwhile, TJ Friedl is batting .267 with 15 doubles, two triples, ten home runs, and 48 walks, placing him 133rd in home runs and 158th in RBIs this season.

Spencer Steer features 15 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs, and 26 walks with a .246 batting average. Matt McLain has 11 doubles, 11 home runs, and 37 walks while batting .217.

Reds Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Tyler Stephenson	0.5 (-190)	1.5 (+135)	–	0.5 (+180)
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+135)	–	0 photo downloader.5 (+200)
Matt McLain	0.5 (-220)	1.5 (+125)	–	0.5 (+185)
Elly De La Cruz	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+105)	–	0.5 (+150)
Austin Hays	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+110)	–	0.5 (+140)

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays have been underdogs in four of their past ten games, losing all of those contests. In the last ten games with a total score, they and their opponents have hit the over three times. The Rays have managed to win only two of their last ten games against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.1
Home Runs	8
ERA	4.81
K/9	8

Rays Player Insights

Junior Caminero is leading the Rays with 26 home runs and 68 RBIs, placing him seventh in MLB for home runs and 14th for RBIs. Caminero is on a hit streak with eight consecutive games and has batted .333 in the past ten, including a double, three home runs, two walks, and nine RBIs.

Yandy Diaz contributes with 19 doubles, one triple, 17 home runs, and 34 walks, maintaining a batting average of .287. He currently ranks 44th in home runs and 30th in RBIs.

Jonathan Aranda leads the team with a batting average of .318, while Chandler Simpson holds eight doubles, one triple, and 13 walks with a batting average of .308.

Rays Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jonathan Aranda	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+125)	–	0.5 (+175)
Christopher Morel	0 live crazy time.5 (-200)	1 jollibee st poblacion photos.5 (+120)	–	0.5 (+160)
Yandy Diaz	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (-120)	–	0.5 (+125)
Junior Caminero	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (-110)	–	0.5 (+135)
Jake Mangum	1.5 (+185)	1 f2 volleyball.5 (+115)	–	0.5 (+195)

Rays vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Catch the most exciting highlights from the match-up between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cincinnati Reds on FOX Sports.

This article is brought to you by FOX Sports, utilizing technology from Data Skrive and data from Sportradar. What are your predictions for the outcome of this game? okada tour